Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.997072 2.298609 2.635604 3.041111 3.517098 4.059627 4.727023
2025-03-16 1.510739 1.899792 2.379446 3.018495 3.853887 4.917430 6.387674
2025-03-23 1.254481 1.672193 2.221861 3.006369 4.110694 5.629788 7.912377
2025-03-30 1.065940 1.487460 2.071478 2.952262 4.268842 6.198948 9.308293
2025-04-06 0.953264 1.384193 2.008726 2.997568 4.556985 6.978205 11.135200
2025-04-13 0.837045 1.256859 1.888909 2.932133 4.655084 7.467467 12.575036
2025-04-20 0.784422 1.216749 1.892240 3.053631 5.061548 8.507242 15.130816
2025-04-27 0.714262 1.139377 1.825261 3.047247 5.246607 9.192013 17.172401
2025-05-04 0.673901 1.104808 1.822267 3.146251 5.626491 10.278321 20.186291
2025-05-11 0.624490 1.048967 1.775813 3.160090 5.848729 11.100009 22.828723
2025-05-18 0.580723 0.997818 1.731026 3.169546 6.061017 11.931528 25.658019
2025-05-25 0.529993 0.928943 1.646646 3.092268 6.088089 12.385366 27.732542
2025-06-01 0.492872 0.886185 1.615089 3.134092 6.409667 13.615982 32.169554
2025-06-08 0.449842 0.828793 1.551413 3.107699 6.596203 14.622288 36.444218
2025-06-15 0.414090 0.780714 1.499001 3.095300 6.809183 15.732511 41.324429
2025-06-22 0.378429 0.728537 1.431547 3.039408 6.910593 16.593754 45.790121
2025-06-29 0.356422 0.701248 1.411662 3.086204 7.266651 18.181360 52.912567
2025-07-06 0.326981 0.655283 1.346581 3.018619 7.324930 18.993785 57.917660
2025-07-13 0.315935 0.646888 1.361783 3.144113 7.906885 21.397069 69.026558
2025-07-20 0.295977 0.617004 1.325468 3.137519 8.133694 22.831490 77.336818
2025-07-27 0.285302 0.606441 1.331839 3.239792 8.684604 25.388832 90.834772
2025-08-03 0.269773 0.583258 1.305942 3.254089 8.985620 27.240191 102.391487
2025-08-10 0.255303 0.561034 1.279777 3.263858 9.276384 29.139670 115.010736